{"id":"2052074810570621074","url":"https://x.com/shrederickson/status/2052074810570621074","text":"Ran my $MNQ ORB strategy through @edgeful's full analyzer. 86 trades, Nov 3 → May 5.\n\nRaw: 74.4% win rate, 2.45 PF, +$8,333 net, -$1,760 max DD (21%).\n\nStrategy Health — 6/6 PASS:\n→ PF realistic for live trading\n→ Win rate realistic\n→ Concentration risk 28% (profit isn't from a few outliers)\n→ 5 of 7 months profitable\n→ +14% win rate change across halves — no performance decay\n→ DD is a manageable 21% of total profit\n\nMonte Carlo (1,000 sims): 100% profitable, median +$8,391, worst 5% +$4,924.\n\nTopstep $50K: 98.7% pass rate, avg 31 trades to clear.\n\nNote I’ve sized down recently as this is spread across multiple accounts.","author":{"name":"shred","username":"shrederickson","avatarUrl":"https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1979013443588911106/CIVqS269_200x200.jpg"},"createdAt":"Wed May 06 17:15:35 +0000 2026","engagement":{"replies":10,"retweets":3,"likes":49,"views":5522},"media":{"photos":[{"url":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HHoPOq1XAAMcwEj.jpg?name=orig","width":1266,"height":738},{"url":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HHoPU5NXYAYTGCY.jpg?name=orig","width":1278,"height":533},{"url":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HHoPaC1WMAYBCCk.jpg?name=orig","width":1270,"height":775},{"url":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HHoPfgpXQAMfOVr.jpg?name=orig","width":1263,"height":1005}],"videos":[]},"adhxContext":{"savedByCount":1,"publicTags":[],"previewUrl":"https://adhx.com/shrederickson/status/2052074810570621074"}}